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Blackpool v Milton Keynes Dons
Blackpool
Milton Keynes DonsLeague One · TUE 20 OCT · Bloomfield Road
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Blackpool win at 49%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Blackpool was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Blackpool v Milton Keynes Dons
- 19′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Milton Keynes Dons
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Oliver Casey · Blackpool
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Blackpool win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Blackpool 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Blackpool · On: Leighton Clarkson · Off: George Honeyman
- 46′SECOND HALF Blackpool 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons
- 48′We said Blackpool at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 0–0 · 37–40–23
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Blackpool win 38%)
- 55′We said Blackpool at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
- 56′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–45–21
- 58′9 shots for Milton Keynes Dons, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–46–21
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Milton Keynes Dons · On: Ben Wiles · Off: ibrahim fullah
- 64′We said Blackpool at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Blackpool win: 49% at kick-off, 29% now
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Albie Morgan · Blackpool
- 68′Milton Keynes Dons have had 12 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 26–56–17
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Blackpool · On: Dion Charles · Off: Tom Bloxham
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Blackpool · On: Dale Taylor · Off: Jerry Yates
- 69′69′: Karoy Anderson on the scoresheet for Blackpool, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 69′We published Blackpool at 49%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Blackpool 1–0 Milton Keynes Dons · Karoy Anderson
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Blackpool win: 49% at kick-off, 83% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Blackpool win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 58%)
- 72′We published Blackpool at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 78′We published Blackpool at 49%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 78′Blackpool ahead on 77′ through Dale Taylor. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Blackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Blackpool win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Milton Keynes Dons · On: Cohen Bramall · Off: Elijah Campbell
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Milton Keynes Dons · On: Dan Crowley · Off: Marvin Ekpiteta
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Milton Keynes Dons · On: Daniel Barlaser · Off: Ryan Wintle
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Blackpool · On: Finley Munroe · Off: Ilmari Niskanen
- 82′We published Blackpool at 49%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Sam Nombe · Milton Keynes Dons
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Milton Keynes Dons · On: Gethin Jones · Off: Samuel Silvera
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Blackpool · On: Jordan Brown · Off: Karoy Anderson
- FTFULL TIME Blackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons
- FTBlackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons · Blackpool win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Blackpool are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Blackpool 49%, draw 24%, Milton Keynes Dons 27%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Blackpool win49%
Milton Keynes Dons win27%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundMatchday 12
VenueBloomfield Road
Match timeline
All events
BlackpoolMIN
Milton Keynes DonsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Blackpool
4-1-3-2
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Blackpool
Milton Keynes Dons
Last match: 17 Oct · the English League One
Last match: 17 Oct · the English League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Blackpool
4-1-3-2
1 B. Peacock-Farrell
28 J. Williams
4 O. Casey
3 Z. Ashworth
21 I. Niskanen
8 A. Morgan
11 J. Bowler
17 Karoy Anderson
10 G. Honeyman
14 T. Bloxham
12 J. Yates
Coach · I. Evatt
Substitutes
6 · J. Brown
19 · D. Charles
7 · L. Clarkson
15 · H. Coulson
2 · A. Lyons
26 · Finley Munroe
18 · D. Taylor
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2
23 W. Dennis
21 M. Ekpiteta
5 C. Goode
32 J. Sanders
24 R. Wintle
17 S. Silvera
22 I. Fullah
8 A. Gilbey
20 Elijah Xavier Campbell
9 S. Nombe
10 A. Collins
Coach · P. Warne
Substitutes
28 · J. Matete
26 · B. Wiles
7 · D. Crowley
2 · G. Jones
15 · C. Bramall
4 · D. Barlaser
51 · S. Stacey
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Blackpool
4-1-3-2
1 B. Peacock-Farrell
28 J. Williams
4 O. Casey
3 Z. Ashworth
21 I. Niskanen
8 A. Morgan
11 J. Bowler
17 Karoy Anderson
10 G. Honeyman
14 T. Bloxham
12 J. Yates
Coach · I. Evatt
Substitutes
6 · J. Brown
19 · D. Charles
7 · L. Clarkson
15 · H. Coulson
2 · A. Lyons
26 · Finley Munroe
18 · D. Taylor
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2
23 W. Dennis
21 M. Ekpiteta
5 C. Goode
32 J. Sanders
24 R. Wintle
17 S. Silvera
22 I. Fullah
8 A. Gilbey
20 Elijah Xavier Campbell
9 S. Nombe
10 A. Collins
Coach · P. Warne
Substitutes
28 · J. Matete
26 · B. Wiles
7 · D. Crowley
2 · G. Jones
15 · C. Bramall
4 · D. Barlaser
51 · S. Stacey
We make Blackpool a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 50%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool win | 49% | 39% | +10 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | −2 |
| Milton Keynes Dons win | 27% | 35% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 60% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 63% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 81% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 39% | −8 |
| Blackpool or draw | 73% | 65% | +8 |
| Blackpool clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League One this season · since 2 Sept
BLACKPOOL
MILTON KEYNES DONS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 10 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheffield Wednesday | 9 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | +10 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | −4 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | +2 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | −3 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | −8 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | −1 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | −5 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | −7 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | −3 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | −8 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | −12 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | −5 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | −7 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.

Bradford
Stockport County
Huddersfield
Plymouth
Cambridge United
Sheffield Wednesday
Reading
Oxford United
Leyton Orient
Burton Albion
Wycombe
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
Leicester
AFC Wimbledon
Luton
Doncaster
Peterborough
Barnsley
Bromley
Notts County
Wigan