Blackpool v Mansfield Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Blackpool win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Blackpool was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–25–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Blackpool v Mansfield Town
4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Blackpool
5. 18′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–22–61
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Blackpool 0–1 Mansfield Town
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Blackpool win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Mansfield Town win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Blackpool win 39%)
9. 21′17′: Michael Smith on the scoresheet for Mansfield Town, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 16–23–61
10. 28′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
11. 30′7 shots for Blackpool, 1 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 14–23–63
12. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
13. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Blackpool win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
14. 42′PENALTY MISSED · 40' Michael Smith · Mansfield Town
15. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Blackpool 1–1 Mansfield Town
16. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Blackpool win: 42% at kick-off, 34% now
17. 44′Blackpool level it on 42′ through Dion Charles. 1–1. 1–1 · 34–38–28
18. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Mansfield Town win 66%)
19. 45′HALF-TIME Blackpool 1–1 Mansfield Town
20. 45′SECOND HALF Blackpool 1–1 Mansfield Town
21. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mansfield Town · On: Rhys Oates · Off: Liam Thompson
22. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Mansfield Town · On: Jordan Bowery · Off: Stephen McLaughlin
23. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Karoy Anderson · Blackpool
24. 48′Blackpool have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 33–39–28
25. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Elliott Hewitt · Mansfield Town
26. 54′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–44–26
27. 56′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–25
28. 56′Rhys Oates scores for Mansfield Town on 55′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 7–22–71
29. 56′⚽ GOAL · 55' Blackpool 1–2 Mansfield Town · Rhys Oates (assist George Abbott)
30. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Blackpool win: 42% at kick-off, 7% now
31. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Mansfield Town win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 46%)
32. 57′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–22–71
33. 57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 7–22–71
34. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Mansfield Town · On: Regan·Hendry · Off: George Abbott
35. 65′64′: Ilmari Niskanen puts it into the Blackpool net, and it is 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
36. 65′We said Blackpool at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
37. 65′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 1–4–95
38. 65′⚽ GOAL · 64' Blackpool 1–3 Mansfield Town · Ilmari Niskanen (own goal)
39. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Blackpool win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
40. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Blackpool · On: Jerry Yates · Off: Dale Taylor
41. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Blackpool · On: Tom Bloxham · Off: Dion Charles
42. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Mansfield Town · On: Tyler Roberts · Off: Michael Smith
43. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Blackpool · On: Finley Munroe · Off: Ilmari Niskanen
44. 78′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
45. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Blackpool 1–4 Mansfield Town
46. 80′Mansfield Town ahead on 78′ through Tyler Roberts. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
47. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Blackpool · On: Jordan Brown · Off: Albie Morgan
48. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Mansfield Town · On: Luke Bolton · Off: Elliott Hewitt
49. FTFULL TIME Blackpool 1–4 Mansfield Town
50. FTBlackpool 1–4 Mansfield Town · Blackpool win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.