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Fulham v Crystal Palace
FulhamCrystal PalaceLeague Cup · WED 28 OCT · Craven Cottage
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Fulham are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Fulham 44%, draw 27%, Crystal Palace 29%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Fulham win44%Crystal Palace win29%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 16
VenueCraven Cottage
Match timeline
All events
FulhamMINCrystal PalaceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Last match: 24 Oct · the English Premier League
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Moment of magic from Bobb wins it for Fulham at CoventrySky Sports · · Fulham, Coventry
Crystal Palace and Newcastle face off with both in search of season kickstartThe Guardian · · Crystal Palace, Newcastle
Charlton Athletic will wince at Crystal Palace winger situation right nowFootball League World · · Charlton, Crystal Palace
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Fulham a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham win | 44% | 48% | −4 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| Crystal Palace win | 29% | 26% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 59% | −7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 78% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 36% | −10 |
| Fulham or draw | 71% | 74% | −3 |
| Fulham clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season · since 27 Aug
FULHAM
CRYSTAL PALACE