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Fleetwood Town v Arsenal
Fleetwood TownArsenalLeague Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Highbury Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Arsenal are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Fleetwood Town 1%, draw 5%, Arsenal 94%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 28%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Fleetwood Town win1%Arsenal win94%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 20:00
RoundRound of 16
VenueHighbury Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Fleetwood TownMINArsenalEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
Last match: 24 Oct · the English League Two
Last match: 24 Oct · the English Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Arsenal a 94% chance to win. The market has them at 88%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.3–3.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 88% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 1% | 4% | −3 |
| Draw | 5% | 8% | −3 |
| Arsenal win | 94% | 88% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 70% | +7 |
| Both teams to score | 28% | 37% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 86% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 58% | 50% | +8 |
| Fleetwood Town or draw | 6% | 12% | −6 |
| Fleetwood Town clean sheet | 2% | – | – |
| Arsenal clean sheet | 71% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season · since 8 Aug
FLEETWOOD TOWN
ARSENAL