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Bradford v Peterborough
BradfordPeterboroughLeague Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Valley Parade
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Bradford are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bradford 50%, draw 26%, Peterborough 24%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Bradford win50%Peterborough win24%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 16
VenueValley Parade
Match timeline
All events
BradfordMINPeterboroughEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bradford
Peterborough
Last match: 24 Oct · the English League One
Last match: 24 Oct · the English League One
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bradford a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford win | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Peterborough win | 24% | 20% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 52% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 52% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 31% | −7 |
| Bradford or draw | 76% | 80% | −4 |
| Bradford clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Peterborough clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League Cup this season · since 8 Aug
BRADFORD
PETERBOROUGH