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London City Lionesses W v Everton W

London City Lionesses W
2–1Full time
Everton W

FA WSL · SUN 18 OCT · Princes Park

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
London City Lionesses W 2–1 Everton W LONDON CITY LIONESSES W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said London City Lionesses W win52%
The market said78%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.342
The market’s Brier score0.077

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said London City Lionesses W win at 52%.
  2. 2′Little has changed for our model: London City Lionesses W 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
  3. 2′KICK-OFF London City Lionesses W v Everton W
  4. 25′24′: Delphine Cascarino on the scoresheet for London City Lionesses W, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  5. 25′We said London City Lionesses W at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 24' London City Lionesses W 1–0 Everton W · Delphine Cascarino
  7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' London City Lionesses W win: 52% at kick-off, 76% now
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  9. 36′We said London City Lionesses W at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  10. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' London City Lionesses W 2–0 Everton W
  11. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' London City Lionesses W win: 52% at kick-off, 94% now
  12. 37′London City Lionesses W ahead on 35′ through Freya Godfrey. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  13. 42′We said London City Lionesses W at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  14. 44′SUBSTITUTION · 43' London City Lionesses W · On: Janni Thomsen · Off: Lucía Corrales Álvarez
  15. 45′HALF-TIME London City Lionesses W 2–0 Everton W
  16. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' London City Lionesses W · On: Nicole Anyomi · Off: Freya Godfrey
  17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' London City Lionesses W · On: Alexia Putellas · Off: Delphine Cascarino
  18. 64′SECOND HALF London City Lionesses W 2–0 Everton W
  19. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Everton W · On: Hannah Cain · Off: Ornella Vignola
  20. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Everton W · On: Noémie Mouchon · Off: R. van Gool
  21. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Everton W · On: Aurora Galli · Off: Clare Wheeler
  22. 72′Hannah Cain scores for Everton W on 71′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  23. 72′We said London City Lionesses W at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  24. 72′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–13–1
  25. 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' London City Lionesses W 2–1 Everton W · Hannah Cain (assist Holly McNamara)
  26. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' London City Lionesses W win: 52% at kick-off, 86% now
  27. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Nicole Anyomi · London City Lionesses W
  28. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' London City Lionesses W win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
  29. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' London City Lionesses W · On: Nikita Parris · Off: Kadidiatou Diani
  30. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' London City Lionesses W · On: María Pérez · Off: Daniela Arques
  31. FTFULL TIME London City Lionesses W 2–1 Everton W
  32. FTLondon City Lionesses W 2–1 Everton W · London City Lionesses W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

London City Lionesses W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: London City Lionesses W 52%, draw 23%, Everton W 25%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on London City Lionesses W v Everton WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

London City Lionesses W win52%
Draw23%
Everton W win25%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenuePrinces Park

Line-ups

London City Lionesses W

4-2-3-1

Everton W

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

London City Lionesses W

Everton W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · FA WSL

Last match: 4 Oct · FA WSL

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3London City Lionesses W5+1012
5Everton W509

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

London City Lionesses W

4-2-3-1

77 Elene Lete

2 Jana Fernández

4 I. Kardinaal

13 E. Linari

7 Lucía Corrales

88 G. Geyoro

16 Daniela Arques

21 K. Diani

10 D. van de Donk

20 D. Cascarino

14 F. Godfrey

Coach · Eder Maestre

Substitutes

23 · I. Goodwin

76 · R. Kafaji

17 · N. Parris

11 · Alexia Putellas

6 · María Pérez

27 · M. Earps

97 · J. Thomsen

19 · N. Anyomi

50 · Aya El Bergui

Everton W

4-2-3-1

1 C. Brosnan

2 H. Blundell

5 N. Layzell

3 R. Ishikawa

33 M. Pacheco

30 R. Mace

7 C. Wheeler

29 Y. Momiki

8 R. van Gool

18 Ornella Vignola

9 H. McNamara

Coach · B. Sorensen

Substitutes

20 · M. Finnigan

11 · H. Cain

24 · R. Foster

22 · A. Galli

6 · H. Hayashi

17 · Noémie Mouchon

15 · J. Rantala

25 · H. Silcock

Our number · london city lionesses w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
52% The market78%
Us52%
Market78%

We make London City Lionesses W a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 78%. We are 26 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · London City Lionesses W v Everton W1.70 – 1.07
Form · FA WSL this season · since 4 SeptW4 D0 L1 · W3 D0 L2
Table places · points 12 v 93 v 5
The market · London City Lionesses W win78% · ours 52%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%60%70%80% 12 OCT 04:0118 OCT 13:44
Our probability · London City Lionesses W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 78% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
London City Lionesses W win52%78%−26
Draw23%15%+8
Everton W win25%7%+18
Over 2.5 goals52%58%−6
Both teams to score53%40%+13
Over 1.5 goals75%79%−4
Over 3.5 goals30%38%−8
London City Lionesses W or draw75%93%−18
London City Lionesses W clean sheet34%––
Everton W clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.2%
0123450 6.0 7.4 3.7 1 11.2 10.8 6.0 2.2 2 8.9 9.4 5.1 3 5.1 5.4 2.9 4 2.2 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+London City Lionesses W down, Everton W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsLON 0–1 EVE · EVE 1–2 LON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA WSL this season · since 4 Sept

LONDON CITY LIONESSES W

WLWWW2–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 6–1

EVERTON W

LWWLW0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Manchester City W5+1015
2Chelsea W5+1113
3London City Lionesses W5+1012
4Tottenham Hotspur W5+810
5Everton W509
6Liverpool W5+37
7Manchester United W5−47
8Arsenal W6−26
9Crystal Palace W5−66
10Brighton W5+15
11Birmingham City W6−53
12West Ham W5−63
13Aston Villa W5−73
14Charlton Athletic W5−130

The competition's standings before kick-off.