Aston Villa W v Liverpool W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Liverpool W win at 40%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Liverpool W was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 36–24–40
3. 2′KICK-OFF Aston Villa W v Liverpool W
4. 17′We published Liverpool W at 40%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 14–21–65
5. 17′Liverpool W find the net on 16′. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–21–65
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Aston Villa W 0–1 Liverpool W
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, 65% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–67
9. 44′We published Liverpool W at 40%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
10. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Aston Villa W 0–1 Liverpool W
12. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Aston Villa W · On: Rofiat Adenike Imuran · Off: Lily Murphy
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Aston Villa W · On: Oriane Jean-François · Off: Miri Taylor
14. 45′SECOND HALF Aston Villa W 0–1 Liverpool W
15. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Liverpool W · On: Marie Therese Hobinger · Off: M. Enderby
16. 60′We published Liverpool W at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
17. 61′We said Liverpool W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 25–49–27
18. 61′Liverpool W have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 25–49–27
19. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Aston Villa W 1–1 Liverpool W
20. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, 27% now
21. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Liverpool W win 27%)
22. 62′Chasity Grant scores for Aston Villa W on 62′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–49–26
23. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Liverpool W · On: Vivien Endemann · Off: Natalia Ramos Álvarez
24. 66′We said Liverpool W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–54–24
25. 71′17 shots for Liverpool W, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 20–60–21
26. 72′72′: Grace Fisk puts it into the Liverpool W net. 1–1 · 19–61–20
27. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
28. 73′We said Liverpool W at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–1 · 81–17–3
29. 73′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 81–17–3
30. 73′⚽ GOAL · 72' Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W · Grace Fisk (own goal)
31. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, 3% now
32. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Aston Villa W win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 17%)
33. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Liverpool W win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Liverpool W · On: Mao Itamura · Off: Fuka Nagano
35. 90′Liverpool W have had 20 attempts to 7 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 95–4–0
36. 90′Full time, 2–1. We called Liverpool W at 40% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–1 · 100–0–0
37. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Aston Villa W · On: Georgia Mullett · Off: Amalie Vangsgaard
38. FTFULL TIME Aston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W
39. FTAston Villa W 2–1 Liverpool W · Liverpool W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.