Workington v Cleethorpes Town
WorkingtonCleethorpes TownFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cleethorpes Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Workington 29%, draw 24%, Cleethorpes Town 47%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded
Workington win29%Cleethorpes Town win47%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
WorkingtonMINCleethorpes TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Workington
Cleethorpes Town
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cleethorpes Town a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Workington win | 29% | 32% | −3 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Cleethorpes Town win | 47% | 42% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 57% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 75% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 33% | −1 |
| Workington or draw | 53% | 58% | −5 |
| Workington clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Cleethorpes Town clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2019/20Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
WORKINGTON
CLEETHORPES TOWN