Weymouth v Sholing
WeymouthSholingFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Weymouth just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Weymouth 38%, draw 25%, Sholing 37%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Weymouth win38%Sholing win37%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
WeymouthMINSholingEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Weymouth
Sholing
Last match: 3 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Weymouth a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weymouth win | 38% | 39% | −1 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Sholing win | 37% | 35% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 60% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 39% | −7 |
| Weymouth or draw | 63% | 65% | −2 |
| Weymouth clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Sholing clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 Aug
WEYMOUTH
SHOLING