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Taunton Town v Wimborne Town

Taunton Town
1–4Full time
Wimborne Town

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
Taunton Town 1–4 Wimborne Town TAUNTON TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Taunton Town win46%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.735
The market’s Brier score0.658

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Taunton Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Taunton Town 46%, draw 23%, Wimborne Town 31%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Taunton Town v Wimborne TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Taunton Town win46%
Draw23%
Wimborne Town win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Taunton Town

Wimborne Town

4Days since last match4

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taunton town winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 23 Oct 04:38 · locked at kick-off
46% The market39%
Us46%
Market39%

We make Taunton Town a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Taunton Town v Wimborne Town1.80 – 1.46
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0
The market · Taunton Town win39% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:34
Our probability · Taunton Town win The market, margin stripped

Published at 45%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Taunton Town win46%39%+7
Draw23%27%−4
Wimborne Town win31%34%−3
Over 2.5 goals63%55%+8
Both teams to score63%60%+3
Over 1.5 goals83%77%+6
Over 3.5 goals41%36%+5
Taunton Town or draw69%66%+3
Taunton Town clean sheet24%––
Wimborne Town clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 4.3 5.6 4.1 2.0 1 6.9 10.2 7.2 3.5 2 6.3 8.8 6.3 3.1 3 3.8 5.3 3.8 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Taunton Town down, Wimborne Town across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.55 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsWIM 1–0 TAU · TAU 2–1 WIM · TAU 2–2 WIM · WIM 3–0 TAU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept

TAUNTON TOWN

W3–2

WIMBORNE TOWN

W3–1