Needham Market v Wingate & Finchley
Needham MarketWingate & FinchleyFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Needham Market are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Needham Market 51%, draw 23%, Wingate & Finchley 26%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Needham Market win51%Wingate & Finchley win26%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
Needham MarketMINWingate & FinchleyEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Needham Market
Wingate & Finchley
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Needham Market a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Needham Market win | 51% | 45% | +6 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Wingate & Finchley win | 26% | 31% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 82% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 44% | −7 |
| Needham Market or draw | 74% | 69% | +5 |
| Needham Market clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| Wingate & Finchley clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
NEEDHAM MARKET
WINGATE & FINCHLEY