Leatherhead v Eastbourne Borough
LeatherheadEastbourne BoroughFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 2–3, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Eastbourne Borough are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Leatherhead 29%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 47%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Leatherhead win29%Eastbourne Borough win47%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
LeatherheadMINEastbourne BoroughEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Leatherhead
Eastbourne Borough
Last match: 20 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Eastbourne Borough a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead win | 29% | 26% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Eastbourne Borough win | 47% | 51% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 62% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 41% | −5 |
| Leatherhead or draw | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Leatherhead clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Eastbourne Borough clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
LEATHERHEAD
EASTBOURNE BOROUGH