Kettering Town v Quorn
Kettering TownQuornFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kettering Town win at 56%.
- 1′A goal for Kettering Town on 9′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 56–21–23
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kettering Town 56% before kick-off, 56% now. 1–1 · 56–21–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Kettering Town v Quorn
- 24′Kettering Town score on 24′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 77–15–8
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Kettering Town 2–1 Quorn
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, 77% now
- 25′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 2–1 · 77–15–8
- 45′HALF-TIME Kettering Town 3–1 Quorn
- 46′SECOND HALF Kettering Town 3–1 Quorn
- 47′Kettering Town find the net on 45′. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 47′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 47′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 94–5–1
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Kettering Town 3–1 Quorn
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, 94% now
- 48′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
- 66′A goal for Quorn on 66′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 82–15–3
- 66′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 3–2 · 82–15–3
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Kettering Town 3–2 Quorn
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, 82% now
- 67′5 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 82–15–3
- 69′J. Friend scores for Quorn on 65′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 83–14–2
- 72′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 83′Kettering Town score on 83′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 83′We said Kettering Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 83′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 100–0–0
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Kettering Town 4–2 Quorn
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Kettering Town win: 56% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 85′Kettering Town find the net on 84′. 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 85′7 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 5–2 · 100–0–0
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Kettering Town 5–2 Quorn
- 90′A goal for Kettering Town on 89′ — 6–2. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 90′That is 8, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 6–2 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Kettering Town 6–2 Quorn
- FTFULL TIME Kettering Town 6–2 Quorn
- FTKettering Town 6–2 Quorn · Kettering Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kettering Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kettering Town 56%, draw 21%, Quorn 23%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Kettering Town win56%Quorn win23%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
Kettering TownMINQuornEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kettering Town
Quorn
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kettering Town a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town win | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Draw | 21% | 22% | −1 |
| Quorn win | 23% | 22% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 64% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 81% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 43% | +1 |
| Kettering Town or draw | 77% | 78% | −1 |
| Kettering Town clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Quorn clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
KETTERING TOWN
QUORN