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Evesham United v Halesowen Town

Evesham United
0–4Full time
Halesowen Town

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Evesham United 0–4 Halesowen Town HALESOWEN TOWN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Halesowen Town win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.384

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Halesowen Town win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Halesowen Town 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 25–25–49
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Evesham United v Halesowen Town
  4. 43′Halesowen Town score on 42′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 6–17–77
  5. 43′We said Halesowen Town at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 6–17–77
  6. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Evesham United 0–1 Halesowen Town
  7. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Halesowen Town win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
  8. 44′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 6–17–77
  9. 44′Halesowen Town find the net on 44′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–5–94
  10. 44′We said Halesowen Town at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 0–2 · 1–5–94
  11. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Evesham United 0–2 Halesowen Town
  12. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Halesowen Town win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
  13. 45′We said Halesowen Town at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Evesham United 0–2 Halesowen Town
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Evesham United 0–2 Halesowen Town
  16. 52′A goal for Halesowen Town on 52′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
  17. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–1–99
  18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Evesham United 0–3 Halesowen Town
  19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Halesowen Town win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  20. 57′We said Halesowen Town at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  21. 63′Halesowen Town score on 62′ to make it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  22. 63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Evesham United 0–4 Halesowen Town
  23. 64′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  24. FTFULL TIME Evesham United 0–4 Halesowen Town
  25. FTEvesham United 0–4 Halesowen Town · Halesowen Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Halesowen Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Evesham United 25%, draw 25%, Halesowen Town 49%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Evesham United v Halesowen TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Evesham United win25%
Draw25%
Halesowen Town win49%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Evesham United

Halesowen Town

4Days since last match4

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

4Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · halesowen town winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 21 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Halesowen Town a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Evesham United v Halesowen Town1.11 – 1.64
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:34
Our probability · Halesowen Town win

Published at 50%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Evesham United win25%––
Draw25%––
Halesowen Town win49%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Evesham United or draw51%––
Evesham United clean sheet19%––
Halesowen Town clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 6.7 10.1 8.6 4.7 1 6.7 12.0 9.5 5.2 2.2 2 3.9 6.5 5.3 2.9 3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Evesham United down, Halesowen Town across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept

EVESHAM UNITED

W3–1

HALESOWEN TOWN

W2–0