Erith Town v Burgess Hill Town
Erith TownBurgess Hill TownFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 3–4, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Burgess Hill Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Erith Town 28%, draw 23%, Burgess Hill Town 49%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Erith Town win28%Burgess Hill Town win49%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
Erith TownMINBurgess Hill TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Erith Town
Burgess Hill Town
Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy
Last match: 21 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Burgess Hill Town a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erith Town win | 28% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Burgess Hill Town win | 49% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | – | – |
| Erith Town or draw | 51% | – | – |
| Erith Town clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
| Burgess Hill Town clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 Aug
ERITH TOWN
BURGESS HILL TOWN