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Enfield Town v Hanworth Villa

Enfield Town
5–1Full time
Hanworth Villa

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Enfield Town 5–1 Hanworth Villa ENFIELD TOWN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Enfield Town win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.290

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Enfield Town win at 56%.
  2. 19′Little has changed for our model: Enfield Town 56% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–26–22
  3. 21′Hanworth Villa find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 27–25–48
  4. 21′We said Enfield Town at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–25–48
  5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Enfield Town 0–1 Hanworth Villa
  6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 27% now
  7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Hanworth Villa win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Enfield Town win 52%)
  8. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
  9. 29′We said Enfield Town at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 24–26–50
  11. 41′We said Enfield Town at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
  12. 42′A goal for Enfield Town on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 46–33–21
  13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Enfield Town 1–1 Hanworth Villa
  14. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
  15. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Enfield Town win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Hanworth Villa win 54%)
  16. 43′T. Al-Sadi scores for Enfield Town on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 45–33–21
  17. 45′We said Enfield Town at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–34–21
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Enfield Town 1–1 Hanworth Villa
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Enfield Town 1–1 Hanworth Villa
  20. 47′Enfield Town score on 46′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–16–5
  21. 47′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–16–5
  22. 47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Enfield Town 2–1 Hanworth Villa
  23. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 79% now
  24. 52′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  25. 71′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
  27. 80′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  28. 81′Enfield Town find the net on 81′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  29. 81′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  30. 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  31. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Enfield Town 3–1 Hanworth Villa
  32. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Enfield Town win: 56% at kick-off, 99% now
  33. 82′We said Enfield Town at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  34. 88′Enfield Town score on 88′ to make it 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  35. 88′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
  36. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Enfield Town 5–1 Hanworth Villa
  37. FTFULL TIME Enfield Town 5–1 Hanworth Villa
  38. FTEnfield Town 5–1 Hanworth Villa · Enfield Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Enfield Town are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Enfield Town 56%, draw 22%, Hanworth Villa 22%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Enfield Town v Hanworth VillaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Enfield Town win56%
Draw22%
Hanworth Villa win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Enfield Town

Hanworth Villa

7Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enfield town winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Enfield Town a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Enfield Town v Hanworth Villa2.02 – 1.20
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Enfield Town win56%––
Draw22%––
Hanworth Villa win22%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Enfield Town or draw78%––
Enfield Town clean sheet30%––
Hanworth Villa clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.3 4.5 2.9 1 7.8 10.0 5.8 2.3 2 8.2 9.8 5.9 2.3 3 5.5 6.6 3.9 4 2.8 3.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Enfield Town down, Hanworth Villa across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept

ENFIELD TOWN

W4–2

HANWORTH VILLA

W3–2