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Model 1.2

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Didcot Town v Poole Town

Didcot Town
2–1Full time
Poole Town

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
Didcot Town 2–1 Poole Town POOLE TOWN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Poole Town win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.156

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Poole Town are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Didcot Town 15%, draw 22%, Poole Town 62%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Didcot Town v Poole TownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Didcot Town win15%
Draw22%
Poole Town win62%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Didcot Town

Poole Town

28Days since last match7

Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy

Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poole town winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make Poole Town a 62% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.9, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Didcot Town v Poole Town0.82 – 1.90
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 AugW1 D2 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Didcot Town win15%––
Draw22%––
Poole Town win62%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Didcot Town or draw38%––
Didcot Town clean sheet15%––
Poole Town clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.1%
0123450 6.9 12.1 11.8 7.5 3.6 1 5.1 10.6 9.8 6.2 2.9 2 2.2 4.2 4.0 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Didcot Town down, Poole Town across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsPOO 2–1 DID · DID 1–1 POO · POO 2–0 DID · DID 0–7 POO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 Aug

DIDCOT TOWN

DWD1–1 · 4–0 · 0–0

POOLE TOWN

W1–0