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Deal Town v Hashtag United

Deal Town
1–3Full time
Hashtag United

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
Deal Town 1–3 Hashtag United HASHTAG UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hashtag United win39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.565

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Hashtag United just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Deal Town 39%, draw 22%, Hashtag United 39%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Deal Town v Hashtag UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Deal Town win39%
Draw22%
Hashtag United win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Deal Town

Hashtag United

28Days since last match28

Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy

Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hashtag united winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Hashtag United a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Deal Town v Hashtag United1.94 – 1.95
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Deal Town win39%––
Draw22%––
Hashtag United win39%––
Over 2.5 goals74%––
Both teams to score74%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals54%––
Deal Town or draw61%––
Deal Town clean sheet14%––
Hashtag United clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.0%
0123450 2.3 3.8 3.9 2.5 1 3.7 8.0 7.6 4.9 2.4 2 3.9 7.5 7.3 4.7 2.3 3 2.5 4.8 4.7 3.1 4 2.3 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Deal Town down, Hashtag United across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 Aug

DEAL TOWN

WWD4–2 · 3–0 · 0–0

HASHTAG UNITED

WWD3–1 · 3–1 · 3–3