Bridlington Town v Curzon Ashton
Bridlington TownCurzon AshtonFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 3–2, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Curzon Ashton are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bridlington Town 17%, draw 20%, Curzon Ashton 63%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Bridlington Town win17%Curzon Ashton win63%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
Bridlington TownMINCurzon AshtonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bridlington Town
Curzon Ashton
Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Northern
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Curzon Ashton a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bridlington Town win | 17% | 23% | −6 |
| Draw | 20% | 24% | −4 |
| Curzon Ashton win | 63% | 52% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% | +11 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 57% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 77% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 37% | +8 |
| Bridlington Town or draw | 37% | 48% | −11 |
| Bridlington Town clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
| Curzon Ashton clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 28 Aug
BRIDLINGTON TOWN
CURZON ASHTON