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Bourne Town v Banbury United

Bourne Town
1–0Full time
Banbury United

FA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45
Bourne Town 1–0 Banbury United BANBURY UNITED WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Banbury United win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.753

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Banbury United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bourne Town 30%, draw 27%, Banbury United 43%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Bourne Town v Banbury UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bourne Town win30%
Draw27%
Banbury United win43%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

Round1/128-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bourne Town

Banbury United

28Days since last match4

Last match: 26 Sept · the English FA Trophy

Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern Central

0Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · banbury united winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Banbury United a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bourne Town v Banbury United1.13 – 1.41
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 AugW3 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:34
Our probability · Banbury United win

Published at 44%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bourne Town win30%––
Draw27%––
Banbury United win43%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Bourne Town or draw57%––
Bourne Town clean sheet24%––
Banbury United clean sheet32%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%
0123450 8.3 10.7 7.8 3.7 1 8.5 13.0 8.9 4.2 2 5.0 7.1 5.0 2.4 3 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bourne Town down, Banbury United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Trophy this season · since 29 Aug

BOURNE TOWN

WWW3–0 · 3–2 · 2–1

BANBURY UNITED

W3–1