Berkhamsted v Cray Wanderers
BerkhamstedCray WanderersFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Berkhamsted are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Berkhamsted 42%, draw 26%, Cray Wanderers 33%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Berkhamsted win42%Cray Wanderers win33%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
Match timeline
All events
BerkhamstedMINCray WanderersEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Berkhamsted
Cray Wanderers
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Last match: 20 Oct · the English FA Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Berkhamsted a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted win | 42% | 38% | +4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Cray Wanderers win | 33% | 38% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 61% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 63% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 80% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 41% | −9 |
| Berkhamsted or draw | 67% | 62% | +5 |
| Berkhamsted clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Cray Wanderers clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022/23No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
BERKHAMSTED
CRAY WANDERERS