Bath City v Frome Town
Bath CityFrome TownFA Trophy · SAT 24 OCT · Twerton Park
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–0, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Bath City are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bath City 50%, draw 28%, Frome Town 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Bath City win50%Frome Town win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
Round1/128-finals
VenueTwerton Park
Match timeline
All events
Bath CityMINFrome TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bath City
Frome Town
Last match: 20 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Last match: 17 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bath City a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City win | 50% | 50% | 0 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Frome Town win | 22% | 25% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 54% | −14 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 57% | −13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 76% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 34% | −14 |
| Bath City or draw | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Bath City clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Frome Town clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Trophy this season · since 26 Sept
BATH CITY
FROME TOWN