Wimborne Town v Chelmsford City
Wimborne TownChelmsford CityFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · The Cuthbury
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelmsford City are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wimborne Town 21%, draw 25%, Chelmsford City 55%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wimborne Town win21%Chelmsford City win55%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueThe Cuthbury
Match timeline
All events
Wimborne TownMINChelmsford CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wimborne Town
Chelmsford City
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - South
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Chelmsford City a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 55% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wimborne Town win | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Chelmsford City win | 55% | 50% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 52% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 55% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 32% | −5 |
| Wimborne Town or draw | 45% | 50% | −5 |
| Wimborne Town clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Chelmsford City clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
WIMBORNE TOWN
CHELMSFORD CITY