Wealdstone v Worthing
WealdstoneWorthingFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · St Georges Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Wealdstone just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Wealdstone 40%, draw 23%, Worthing 37%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wealdstone win40%Worthing win37%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueSt Georges Stadium
Match timeline
All events
WealdstoneMINWorthingEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wealdstone
Worthing
Last match: 10 Oct · the English National League
Last match: 13 Oct · National League Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Wealdstone a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone win | 40% | 37% | +3 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Worthing win | 37% | 37% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 60% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 63% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 80% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 40% | +4 |
| Wealdstone or draw | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Wealdstone clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Worthing clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season
WEALDSTONE
No matches in our record yet.
WORTHING
No matches in our record yet.