Stafford Rangers v Gateshead
Stafford RangersGatesheadFA Cup · TUE 20 OCT · Marston Road
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Gateshead win at 56%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Gateshead was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 22–23–56
- 1′KICK-OFF Stafford Rangers v Gateshead
- 5′We said Gateshead at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 32%. 1–0 · 45–23–32
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Stafford Rangers 1–0 Gateshead
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Gateshead win: 56% at kick-off, 32% now
- 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Stafford Rangers win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Gateshead win 55%)
- 6′Stafford Rangers find the net on 5′. 1–0. 1–0 · 45–23–31
- 12′We said Gateshead at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 47–24–29
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Gateshead win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
- 27′We said Gateshead at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 50–26–24
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 51–26–23
- 32′A goal for Stafford Rangers on 32′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 78–14–8
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Stafford Rangers 2–0 Gateshead
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Gateshead win: 56% at kick-off, 8% now
- 33′We said Gateshead at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–0 · 78–14–8
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Gateshead win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Stafford Rangers 2–0 Gateshead
- 46′SECOND HALF Stafford Rangers 2–0 Gateshead
- 47′We said Gateshead at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 84–12–4
- 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Stafford Rangers 3–0 Gateshead
- 53′Stafford Rangers score on 52′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 97–3–1
- 57′Stafford Rangers find the net on 57′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Stafford Rangers 4–0 Gateshead
- 58′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 69′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 69′A goal for Stafford Rangers on 68′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Stafford Rangers 5–0 Gateshead
- FTFULL TIME Stafford Rangers 5–0 Gateshead
- FTStafford Rangers 5–0 Gateshead · Gateshead win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Gateshead are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Stafford Rangers 22%, draw 23%, Gateshead 56%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 09:32 · locked at kick-off
Stafford Rangers win22%Gateshead win56%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
Round4th round qualifying
VenueMarston Road
Match timeline
All events
Stafford RangersMINGatesheadEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Stafford Rangers
Gateshead
Last match: 17 Oct · the English FA Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · the English FA Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gateshead a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford Rangers win | 22% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Gateshead win | 56% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | – | – |
| Stafford Rangers or draw | 44% | – | – |
| Stafford Rangers clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Gateshead clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
STAFFORD RANGERS
GATESHEAD