Southend v Berkhamsted

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Southend win at 85%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Southend v Berkhamsted
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Southend 85% before kick-off, 84% now. 0–0 · 84–11–5
4. 9′Little has changed for our model: Southend 85% before kick-off, 82% now. 0–0 · 82–12–5
5. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 75% now
6. 33′Southend find the net on 32′. 1–0. 1–0 · 93–5–1
7. 33′The goal count is tracking the 3.6 we expected. 1–0 · 93–5–1
8. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Southend 1–0 Berkhamsted
9. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 93% now
10. 43′A goal for Berkhamsted on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 69–24–7
11. 43′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 69%. 1–1 · 69–24–7
12. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Southend 1–1 Berkhamsted
13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 69% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Southend 1–1 Berkhamsted
15. 46′SECOND HALF Southend 1–1 Berkhamsted
16. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 65% now
17. 50′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 64–28–7
18. 57′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–34–7
19. 58′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 58%. 1–1 · 58–35–7
20. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 55% now
21. 62′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–39–7
22. 66′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–43–7
23. 66′12 shots for Southend, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 49–43–7
24. 70′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–49–7
25. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 44% now
26. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Southend win 44%)
27. 74′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–56–6
28. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 35% now
29. 77′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–62–6
30. 80′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–69–5
31. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 25% now
32. 82′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–74–4
33. 84′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–79–3
34. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 15% now
35. 87′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–84–3
36. 87′Southend have had 17 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 14–84–3
37. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted
38. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Southend win: 85% at kick-off, 1% now
39. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Berkhamsted win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
40. 90′Berkhamsted score on 88′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–9–91
41. 90′We said Southend at 85%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–9–91
42. FTFULL TIME Southend 1–2 Berkhamsted
43. FTSouthend 1–2 Berkhamsted · Southend win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.