Salisbury v Eastbourne Borough
SalisburyEastbourne BoroughFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Raymond McEnhill Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSalisbury are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Salisbury 49%, draw 23%, Eastbourne Borough 27%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Salisbury win49%Eastbourne Borough win27%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueRaymond McEnhill Stadium
Match timeline
All events
SalisburyMINEastbourne BoroughEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Salisbury
Eastbourne Borough
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - South
Last match: 10 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Salisbury a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 63% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury win | 49% | 63% | −14 |
| Draw | 23% | 18% | +5 |
| Eastbourne Borough win | 27% | 18% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 62% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 82% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 40% | −7 |
| Salisbury or draw | 73% | 82% | −9 |
| Salisbury clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Eastbourne Borough clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
SALISBURY
EASTBOURNE BOROUGH