Plymouth Parkway v Chertsey Town
Plymouth ParkwayChertsey TownFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Bolitho Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassPlymouth Parkway are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Plymouth Parkway 47%, draw 22%, Chertsey Town 31%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Plymouth Parkway win47%Chertsey Town win31%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueBolitho Park
Match timeline
All events
Plymouth ParkwayMINChertsey TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Plymouth Parkway
Chertsey Town
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Last match: 13 Oct · Non League Premier - Southern South
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Plymouth Parkway a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway win | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | −2 |
| Chertsey Town win | 31% | 26% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 64% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 65% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 83% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 43% | +4 |
| Plymouth Parkway or draw | 69% | 74% | −5 |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Chertsey Town clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
PLYMOUTH PARKWAY
CHERTSEY TOWN