Leatherhead v Yeovil Town
LeatherheadYeovil TownFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Fetcham Grove
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassYeovil Town are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Leatherhead 15%, draw 21%, Yeovil Town 63%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Leatherhead win15%Yeovil Town win63%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueFetcham Grove
Match timeline
All events
LeatherheadMINYeovil TownEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Leatherhead
Yeovil Town
Last match: 10 Oct · Non League Premier - Isthmian
Last match: 10 Oct · the English National League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Yeovil Town a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 0.9–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 61%, 63% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead win | 15% | 16% | −1 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Yeovil Town win | 63% | 64% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 67% | −12 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 62% | −11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 85% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 47% | −15 |
| Leatherhead or draw | 37% | 36% | +1 |
| Leatherhead clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Yeovil Town clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
LEATHERHEAD
YEOVIL TOWN
No matches in our record yet.