Kidderminster Harriers v Solihull Moors
Kidderminster HarriersSolihull MoorsFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Aggborough
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kidderminster Harriers win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kidderminster Harriers 53% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Kidderminster Harriers v Solihull Moors
- 8′Little has changed for our model: Kidderminster Harriers 53% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
- 16′Kidderminster Harriers find the net on 15′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–15–7
- 16′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–15–7
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 15' Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Solihull Moors
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Kidderminster Harriers win: 53% at kick-off, 77% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
- 45′HALF-TIME Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Solihull Moors
- 46′SECOND HALF Kidderminster Harriers 1–0 Solihull Moors
- 49′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 52′Kidderminster Harriers find the net on 52′. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 53′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Kidderminster Harriers 2–0 Solihull Moors
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Kidderminster Harriers win: 53% at kick-off, 96% now
- 58′Solihull Moors score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 81–16–3
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kidderminster Harriers 2–1 Solihull Moors
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Kidderminster Harriers win: 53% at kick-off, 81% now
- 60′Solihull Moors score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 60′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 82–15–3
- 69′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 79′We said Kidderminster Harriers at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Kidderminster Harriers win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
- FTFULL TIME Kidderminster Harriers 2–1 Solihull Moors
- FTKidderminster Harriers 2–1 Solihull Moors · Kidderminster Harriers win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKidderminster Harriers are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kidderminster Harriers 53%, draw 25%, Solihull Moors 23%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Kidderminster Harriers win53%Solihull Moors win23%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueAggborough
Match timeline
All events
Kidderminster HarriersMINSolihull MoorsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kidderminster Harriers
Solihull Moors
Last match: 10 Oct · the English National League
Last match: 13 Oct · National League Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kidderminster Harriers a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers win | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | +1 |
| Solihull Moors win | 23% | 22% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 55% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 56% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Kidderminster Harriers or draw | 77% | 78% | −1 |
| Kidderminster Harriers clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| Solihull Moors clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season
KIDDERMINSTER HARRIERS
No matches in our record yet.
SOLIHULL MOORS
No matches in our record yet.