Gateshead v Stafford Rangers
GatesheadStafford RangersFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Gateshead International Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Gateshead win at 73%.
- 3′We said Gateshead at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–3
- 3′Gateshead find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 89–8–3
- 3′KICK-OFF Gateshead v Stafford Rangers
- 7′A goal for Stafford Rangers on 6′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 71–18–11
- 7′Little has changed for our model: Gateshead 73% before kick-off, 71% now. 1–1 · 71–18–11
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Gateshead 1–1 Stafford Rangers
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 71% now
- 10′A goal for Stafford Rangers on 5′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 70–18–12
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 63% now
- 36′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 61%. 1–1 · 61–26–13
- 41′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–28–13
- 42′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 59–28–13
- 45′HALF-TIME Gateshead 1–1 Stafford Rangers
- 46′SECOND HALF Gateshead 1–1 Stafford Rangers
- 50′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–33–13
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 53% now
- 58′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–39–13
- 64′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–44–12
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 43% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Gateshead win 42%)
- 69′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–50–11
- 73′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–56–10
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 33% now
- 76′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–62–9
- 80′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–70–7
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 23% now
- 82′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–75–6
- 85′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–82–5
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 13% now
- 90′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–89–3
- 93′We said Gateshead at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–1
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Gateshead win: 73% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Gateshead 1–1 Stafford Rangers
- FTGateshead 1–1 Stafford Rangers · Gateshead win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassGateshead are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Gateshead 73%, draw 16%, Stafford Rangers 11%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Gateshead win73%Stafford Rangers win11%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueGateshead International Stadium
Match timeline
All events
GatesheadMINStafford RangersEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Gateshead
Stafford Rangers
Last match: 13 Oct · National League Cup
Last match: 6 Oct · the English FA Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gateshead a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gateshead win | 73% | – | – |
| Draw | 16% | – | – |
| Stafford Rangers win | 11% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Gateshead or draw | 89% | – | – |
| Gateshead clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Stafford Rangers clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept
GATESHEAD
No matches in our record yet.
STAFFORD RANGERS