FC Halifax Town v South Shields
FC Halifax TownSouth ShieldsFA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · The Shay
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Halifax Town win at 50%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: FC Halifax Town was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–25
- 2′KICK-OFF FC Halifax Town v South Shields
- 9′Much as we predicted: FC Halifax Town was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–25
- 13′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 13′FC Halifax Town find the net on 13′. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–16–9
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' FC Halifax Town 1–0 South Shields
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' FC Halifax Town win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
- 20′A goal for FC Halifax Town on 19′. 1–0 · 75–17–9
- 20′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–6–2
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' FC Halifax Town 2–0 South Shields
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' FC Halifax Town win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
- 23′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–0 · 98–2–0
- 23′FC Halifax Town score on 22′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 98–2–0
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' FC Halifax Town 3–0 South Shields
- 28′FC Halifax Town score on 23′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
- 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 98–1–0
- 45′HALF-TIME FC Halifax Town 3–0 South Shields
- 46′SECOND HALF FC Halifax Town 3–0 South Shields
- 58′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' FC Halifax Town win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 69′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 69′South Shields find the net on 69′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' FC Halifax Town 3–1 South Shields
- 71′South Shields find the net on 70′. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 71′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 84%. 3–2 · 84–14–2
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' FC Halifax Town 3–2 South Shields
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' FC Halifax Town win: 50% at kick-off, 84% now
- 72′We published FC Halifax Town at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
- 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 85–13–2
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' FC Halifax Town win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
- FTFULL TIME FC Halifax Town 3–2 South Shields
- FTFC Halifax Town 3–2 South Shields · FC Halifax Town win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassFC Halifax Town are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FC Halifax Town 50%, draw 25%, South Shields 25%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
FC Halifax Town win50%South Shields win25%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
Round4th round qualifying
VenueThe Shay
Match timeline
All events
FC Halifax TownMINSouth ShieldsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FC Halifax Town
South Shields
Last match: 13 Oct · National League Cup
Last match: 10 Oct · National League - North
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FC Halifax Town a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Halifax Town win | 50% | 43% | +7 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| South Shields win | 25% | 32% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 59% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 62% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 38% | −6 |
| FC Halifax Town or draw | 75% | 68% | +7 |
| FC Halifax Town clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| South Shields clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 19 Sept
FC HALIFAX TOWN
No matches in our record yet.
SOUTH SHIELDS