Cray Wanderers v Bedford Town

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cray Wanderers win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Cray Wanderers 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cray Wanderers v Bedford Town
4. 18′A goal for Cray Wanderers on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–20–14
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' Cray Wanderers 1–0 Bedford Town
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 65% now
7. 19′We said Cray Wanderers at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–14
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 67–21–12
9. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
10. 45′HALF-TIME Cray Wanderers 1–1 Bedford Town
11. 46′We said Cray Wanderers at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
12. 46′SECOND HALF Cray Wanderers 1–1 Bedford Town
13. 49′Bedford Town score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 31–39–30
14. 49′⚽ GOAL · 45' Cray Wanderers 1–1 Bedford Town
15. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 31% now
16. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Cray Wanderers win 70%)
17. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
18. 60′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–47–26
19. 66′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–23
20. 74′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–18
21. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
22. 79′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
23. 84′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
24. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Cray Wanderers win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
25. 91′We said Cray Wanderers at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
26. 91′Bedford Town score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 27–48–25
27. 91′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 48%. 1–1 · 27–48–25
28. 92′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 26–49–25
29. 101′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Bedford Town likeliest at 79%. 1–2 · 3–18–79
30. 101′⚽ GOAL · 101' Cray Wanderers 1–2 Bedford Town
31. 102′Bedford Town find the net on 101′. 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–80
32. 103′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–17–80
33. 106′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 17–66–16
34. 106′A goal for Cray Wanderers on 106′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 17–66–16
35. 106′⚽ GOAL · 106' Cray Wanderers 2–2 Bedford Town
36. 120′A goal for Cray Wanderers on 105′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 5–91–5
37. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at over 99%. 2–2 · 0–100–0
38. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
39. FTFULL TIME Cray Wanderers 1–1 Bedford Town
40. FTCray Wanderers 1–1 Bedford Town after 90 minutes, as graded · Cray Wanderers win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.