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AFC Fylde v Atherton Collieries

AFC Fylde
5–0Full time
Atherton Collieries

FA Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Mill Farm

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:08
AFC Fylde 5–0 Atherton Collieries AFC FYLDE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said AFC Fylde win87%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.027

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AFC Fylde are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AFC Fylde 87%, draw 9%, Atherton Collieries 4%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on AFC Fylde v Atherton CollieriesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

AFC Fylde win87%
Draw9%
Atherton Collieries win4%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

Round4th round qualifying

VenueMill Farm

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AFC Fylde

Atherton Collieries

7Days since last match11

Last match: 10 Oct · the English National League

Last match: 6 Oct · the English FA Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · afc fylde winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
87% The market–
Us87%

We make AFC Fylde an 87% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–0.8, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · AFC Fylde v Atherton Collieries3.52 – 0.78

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
AFC Fylde win87%––
Draw9%––
Atherton Collieries win4%––
Over 2.5 goals80%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals93%––
Over 3.5 goals62%––
AFC Fylde or draw96%––
AFC Fylde clean sheet46%––
Atherton Collieries clean sheet3%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.9%
0123450 1 4.7 3.8 2 8.4 6.5 2.5 3 9.9 7.7 3.0 4 8.7 6.8 2.6 5 6.1 4.8
under 2% 5% 12%+AFC Fylde down, Atherton Collieries across0–5 goals a side shown (85.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Cup this season · since 5 Sept

AFC FYLDE

No matches in our record yet.

ATHERTON COLLIERIES

WWDW3–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–0