Wolves v Portsmouth

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Wolves win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Wolves was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–24–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Wolves v Portsmouth
4. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Sean Neave · Wolves
5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Wolves 0–0 Portsmouth
7. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Wolves · On: Jordan James · Off: Marshall Munetsi
8. 45′SECOND HALF Wolves 0–0 Portsmouth
9. 46′We said Wolves at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–37–21
10. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Wolves · On: Tawanda Chirewa · Off: Sean Neave
11. 51′We said Wolves at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–20
12. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Portsmouth · On: Marko Milovanović · Off: Tyrese Shade
13. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Portsmouth · On: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen · Off: Rocco Robert Shein
14. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–37–21
15. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Wolves win 40%)
16. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Iyad Mohamed · Portsmouth
17. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Paulo César da Silva Peixoto · Wolves
18. 58′Wolves have had 8 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 35–45–19
19. 60′We said Wolves at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
20. 62′We published Wolves at 53%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
21. 62′62′: Jordan James on the scoresheet for Wolves, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
22. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
23. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Wolves 1–0 Portsmouth
24. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 82% now
25. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Wolves win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 49%)
26. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
27. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Wolves · On: Thomas Doyle · Off: Mateus Mane
28. 70′We published Wolves at 53%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
29. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Wolves · On: Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · Off: Rafiki Said Ahamada
30. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Portsmouth · On: Odin Bailey · Off: Iyad Mohamed
31. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Portsmouth · On: E. Kenny · Off: Abu Kamara
32. 79′We published Wolves at 53%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
33. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Marko Milovanović · Portsmouth
34. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
35. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolves
36. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Thomas Doyle · Wolves
37. 86′We published Wolves at 53%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
38. 86′We said Wolves at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
39. 86′Wolves have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 9–86–5
40. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth
41. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 9% now
42. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Wolves win 95%)
43. 87′Portsmouth level it on 86′ through Terry Devlin. 1–1. 1–1 · 8–87–5
44. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Wolves · On: Yerson Mosquera · Off: André
45. 92′We said Wolves at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
46. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Wolves win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
47. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Ryan Kavuma-McQueen · Portsmouth
48. FTFULL TIME Wolves 1–1 Portsmouth
49. FTWolves 1–1 Portsmouth · Wolves win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.