Stoke City v Bristol City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stoke City win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Stoke City was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–28–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Stoke City v Bristol City
4. 22′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Stoke City · On: George Hirst · Off: Lamine Cissé
5. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Stoke City win 36%)
6. 45′HALF-TIME Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
7. 45′SECOND HALF Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
8. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 31' El Hadji Soumare · Stoke City
9. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Luke McNally · Bristol City
10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Stoke City win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
11. 53′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–47–24
12. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 32–42–26
13. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Bristol City · On: Sam Bellis · Off: lorent tolaj
14. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Bristol City · On: Brian de Keersmaecker · Off: Gibson Osahumen Yah
15. 64′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
16. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Stoke City win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
17. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Stoke City · On: Junior Tchamadeu · Off: El Hadji Soumare
18. 73′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–67–15
19. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Jason Knight · Bristol City
20. 78′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
21. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Stoke City win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
22. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Stoke City · On: Róbert Boženík · Off: Justin Devenny
23. 83′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–8
24. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Bristol City · On: Jed Wallace · Off: Dominic Ballard
25. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Bristol City · On: Adam Randell · Off: Jason Knight
26. 90′We said Stoke City at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
27. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Stoke City win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
28. FTFULL TIME Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City
29. FTStoke City 0–0 Bristol City · Stoke City win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.