Southampton v Bolton

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Southampton win at 60%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Southampton v Bolton
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Southampton was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
4. 9′Much as we predicted: Southampton was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–22–20
5. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Southampton win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
6. 42′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Southampton · On: Lewis Dobbin · Off: Cyle Larin
7. 43′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 48–32–20
8. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Akin Famewo · Bolton
9. 45′HALF-TIME Southampton 0–0 Bolton
10. 45′SECOND HALF Southampton 0–0 Bolton
11. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Bolton · On: Ruben Rodrigues · Off: Atsuki Ito
12. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Southampton · On: Kuryu Matsuki · Off: Tom Fellows
13. 52′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
14. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–39–19
15. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Southampton win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
16. 60′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
17. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Cameron Bragg · Southampton
18. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Southampton win 39%)
19. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Bolton · On: Ethan Erhahon · Off: Xavier Simons
20. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Bolton · On: Kyliane Dong · Off: Thierry Gale
21. 67′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–50–16
22. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Southampton win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
23. 72′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–57–14
24. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Southampton · On: Ryan Manning · Off: Welington
25. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Southampton · On: Samuel Edozie · Off: Cameron Bragg
26. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bolton · On: Thelonius Bair · Off: Sam Dalby
27. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Lewis Brunt · Bolton
28. 77′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–65–12
29. 80′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
30. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Southampton win: 60% at kick-off, 19% now
31. 83′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–7
32. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Thelonius Bair · Bolton
33. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Kuryu Matsuki · Southampton
34. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Southampton win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Bolton · On: Samuel Iling · Off: Gaizka Larrazabal
36. 88′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–5
37. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Luca Stephenson · Bolton
38. 93′We said Southampton at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
39. FTFULL TIME Southampton 0–0 Bolton
40. FTSouthampton 0–0 Bolton · Southampton win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.