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Preston v West Brom
Preston
West BromChampionship · SAT 24 OCT · Deepdale Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said West Brom win at 39%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: West Brom 39% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 33–29–38
- 2′KICK-OFF Preston v West Brom
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Harry Whitwell · West Brom
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was West Brom win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Preston 0–0 West Brom
- 45′SECOND HALF Preston 0–0 West Brom
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Preston · On: Andrew Moran · Off: Alfie Devine
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' West Brom win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 54′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 24–48–27
- 61′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 22–54–24
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' West Brom · On: J. Morgan · Off: Harry Whitwell
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' West Brom · On: Aune Heggebo · Off: Barney Stewart
- 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Andrew Moran · Preston
- 70′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 17–63–19
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' West Brom win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Preston · On: Callum Lang · Off: Brad Potts
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Preston · On: Jusef Erabi · Off: Johnny Kenny
- 77′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–73–14
- 78′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–0 · 87–12–1
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Preston 1–0 West Brom
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' West Brom win: 39% at kick-off, 1% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Preston win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 75%)
- 79′Andrew Hughes scores for Preston on 78′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
- 82′We said West Brom at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Preston 1–1 West Brom
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Preston win 91%)
- 83′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 8–84–8
- 83′82′: Aune Heggebo on the scoresheet for West Brom, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 8–84–8
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Graham Alexander · Preston
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' West Brom · On: Kareem Tunde · Off: Felix Horn Myhre
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' West Brom · On: Rabby Nzingoula · Off: Ousmane·Diakite
- FTFULL TIME Preston 1–1 West Brom
- FTPreston 1–1 West Brom · West Brom win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
West Brom are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Preston 33%, draw 28%, West Brom 39%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Preston win33%
West Brom win39%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueDeepdale Stadium
RefereeElliot Bell
Match timeline
All events
PrestonMIN
West BromEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Preston
4-2-3-1
West Brom
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Preston
West Brom
Last match: 17 Oct · the English Championship
Last match: 17 Oct · the English Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Preston
4-2-3-1
1 D. Iversen
24 O. Offiah
14 J. Storey
16 A. Hughes
3 A. Vukčević
44 B. Potts
27 L. Leroy
17 S. Mills
7 A. Devine
37 D. Burgzorg
38 J. Kenny
Coach · G. Alexander
Substitutes
9 · J. Erabi
35 · Isaac Irwin
10 · C. Lang
23 · A. Moran
21 · L. Nicholls
11 · T. Small
2 · Pol Valentín
12 · C. Wiley
32 · Ed Nolan
West Brom
4-4-2
1 M. O’Leary
18 B. Pereira
2 C. Mepham
6 G. Campbell
4 C. Styles
29 Harry Whitwell
8 J. Molumby
17 O. Diakité
21 I. Price
7 F. Myhre
9 B. Stewart
Coach · J. Morrison
Substitutes
13 · M. Ingram
11 · J. Morgan
20 · R. Nzingoula
3 · N. Phillips
22 · C. Townsend
26 · K. Tunde
19 · A. Heggebø
23 · T. Bany
35 · Matthew Crowther
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Preston
4-2-3-1
1 D. Iversen
24 O. Offiah
14 J. Storey
16 A. Hughes
3 A. Vukčević
44 B. Potts
27 L. Leroy
17 S. Mills
7 A. Devine
37 D. Burgzorg
38 J. Kenny
Coach · G. Alexander
Substitutes
9 · J. Erabi
35 · Isaac Irwin
10 · C. Lang
23 · A. Moran
21 · L. Nicholls
11 · T. Small
2 · Pol Valentín
12 · C. Wiley
32 · Ed Nolan
West Brom
4-4-2
1 M. O’Leary
18 B. Pereira
2 C. Mepham
6 G. Campbell
4 C. Styles
29 Harry Whitwell
8 J. Molumby
17 O. Diakité
21 I. Price
7 F. Myhre
9 B. Stewart
Coach · J. Morrison
Substitutes
13 · M. Ingram
11 · J. Morgan
20 · R. Nzingoula
3 · N. Phillips
22 · C. Townsend
26 · K. Tunde
19 · A. Heggebø
23 · T. Bany
35 · Matthew Crowther
We make West Brom a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 33% | 26% | +7 |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | +1 |
| West Brom win | 39% | 47% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 51% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 54% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 74% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 30% | −9 |
| Preston or draw | 61% | 53% | +8 |
| Preston clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
| West Brom clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Championship this season · since 8 Sept
PRESTON
WEST BROM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | +11 | 17 |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | −1 | 14 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | −3 | 14 |
| 16 | Charlton | 11 | −5 | 14 |
| 17 | Bolton | 12 | −7 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | −10 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | −9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | −4 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | −5 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | −11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | −15 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.


Middlesbrough
Swansea
West Ham
Birmingham
Stoke City
Wolves
Southampton
QPR
Blackburn
Sheffield Utd
Millwall
Portsmouth
Wrexham
Bristol City
Charlton
Bolton
Lincoln
Cardiff
Watford
Norwich
Burnley
Derby