Portsmouth v Sheffield Utd

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sheffield Utd win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sheffield Utd 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Portsmouth v Sheffield Utd
4. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Jayden Meghoma · Portsmouth
5. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Hamza Choudhury · Sheffield Utd
6. 41′41′ and it is 1–0: Zak Swanson on the scoresheet for Portsmouth. 1–0 · 67–23–10
7. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Portsmouth 1–0 Sheffield Utd
8. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Sheffield Utd win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
9. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Portsmouth win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Sheffield Utd win 10%)
10. 42′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 67–23–10
11. 43′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 67–23–10
12. 44′Sheffield Utd are down to ten from 44′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 67–23–10
13. 44′🟥 RED CARD · 44' Hamza Choudhury · Sheffield Utd
14. 45′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–23–9
15. 45′HALF-TIME Portsmouth 1–0 Sheffield Utd
16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sheffield Utd · On: Mark McGuinness · Off: Patrick Bamford
17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sheffield Utd · On: Kalvin Phillips · Off: Ben Brereton
18. 46′SECOND HALF Portsmouth 1–0 Sheffield Utd
19. 55′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 93–6–1
20. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Portsmouth 2–0 Sheffield Utd · Zak Swanson
21. 57′Portsmouth ahead on 54′ through Adrian Segecic. 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
22. 60′Japhet Tanganga scores for Sheffield Utd on 59′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 73–21–5
23. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Portsmouth 2–1 Sheffield Utd
24. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Nicolas Schmid · Portsmouth
25. 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 74–21–5
26. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Sheffield Utd · On: Oliver Arblaster · Off: Joe Rothwell
27. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Sam McCallum · Sheffield Utd
28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Sheffield Utd · On: Oliver Arblaster · Off: Joe Rothwell
29. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Portsmouth · On: Colby·Bishop · Off: Marko Milovanović
30. 67′67′ and it is 2–2: Thomas Cannon on the scoresheet for Sheffield Utd. 2–2 · 20–57–23
31. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Portsmouth 2–2 Sheffield Utd · Thomas Cannon
32. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Sheffield Utd win: 40% at kick-off, 23% now
33. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Portsmouth win 20%)
34. 68′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 2–2 · 19–59–22
35. 69′Portsmouth have had 19.0 attempts to 10.0 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 19–60–21
36. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Portsmouth · On: Keshi Anderson · Off: Abu Kamara
37. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Portsmouth · On: Ebou Adams · Off: Iyad Mohamed
38. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Portsmouth · On: Terry Devlin · Off: Zak Swanson
39. 70′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–61–21
40. 72′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 17–64–19
41. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Sheffield Utd win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
42. 73′20.0 shots for Portsmouth, 10.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 16–65–19
43. 78′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 13–73–14
44. 78′Sheffield Utd are down to ten from 44′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–2 · 13–73–14
45. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Sheffield Utd · On: Romelle Donovan · Off: Tahith Chong
46. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Sheffield Utd · On: Tyrese Campbell · Off: Thomas Cannon
47. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Sheffield Utd win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
48. 83′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
49. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Ebou Adams · Portsmouth
50. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Portsmouth · On: Odin Bailey · Off: Keshi Anderson
51. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd · Ebou Adams
52. 90′Portsmouth ahead on 89′ through Ebou Adams. 3–2. 3–2 · 96–4–0
53. 90′We said Sheffield Utd at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 0%. 3–2 · 96–4–0
54. 90′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 96–4–0
55. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Sheffield Utd win: 40% at kick-off, 0% now
56. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Portsmouth win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
57. FTFULL TIME Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd
58. FTPortsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd · Sheffield Utd win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.