Norwich v Southampton

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Southampton win at 40%.
2. 0′Much as we predicted: Southampton was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 37–23–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Norwich v Southampton
4. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Ryan Manning · Southampton
5. 21′SUBSTITUTION · 22' Southampton · On: Caspar Jander · Off: Flynn Downes
6. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Zach Abbott · Southampton
7. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Southampton · On: Welington · Off: Ryan Manning
8. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Southampton · On: James Bree · Off: Zach Abbott
9. 45′SECOND HALF Norwich 0–0 Southampton
10. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Jacob Wright · Norwich
11. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Southampton win 32%)
12. 54′Kuryu Matsuki scores for Southampton on 54′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–21–71
13. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Norwich 0–1 Southampton · Kuryu Matsuki
14. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Southampton win: 40% at kick-off, 71% now
15. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Southampton win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 21%)
16. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–35–34 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
17. 56′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 72%. 0–1 · 7–21–72
18. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Norwich · On: Paris Maghoma · Off: Anis Ben Slimane
19. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Norwich · On: J. Makama · Off: Mathias Kvistgaarden
20. 64′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Southampton · On: Cyle Larin · Off: Samuel Edozie
22. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Norwich · On: Anthony Musaba · Off: Oscar Schwartau
23. 72′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
24. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Norwich · On: Ante Crnac · Off: Andre Brooks
25. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Southampton win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
26. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Norwich · On: Samuel Field · Off: Jacob Wright
27. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Samuel Field · Norwich
28. 79′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
29. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Southampton · On: Divin Mubama · Off: Lewis Dobbin
30. 83′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Southampton win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
32. 90′We published Southampton at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
33. 90′Full time, 0–1. We called Southampton at 40% — that one lands. 0–1 · 0–0–100
34. FTFULL TIME Norwich 0–1 Southampton
35. FTNorwich 0–1 Southampton · Southampton win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.