Lincoln v West Ham

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said West Ham win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: West Ham 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 34–25–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lincoln v West Ham
4. 3′🟥 RED CARD · 3' Lincoln
5. 3′🟥 RED CARD · 3' Thomas Hamer · Lincoln
6. 4′Lincoln are down to ten from 3′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 34–26–40
7. 22′🟥 RED CARD · 23' Conor McGrandles · Lincoln
8. 23′A red card for Lincoln on 23′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 32–30–38
9. 23′🟥 RED CARD · 23' Conor McGrandles · Lincoln
10. 42′West Ham have had 9.0 attempts to 4.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 29–37–34
11. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was West Ham win 33%)
12. 45′West Ham ahead on 45′ through Konstantinos Mavropanos. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–21–72
13. 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 8–21–72
14. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Lincoln 0–1 West Ham · Konstantinos Mavropanos (assist Jarrod Bowen)
15. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' West Ham win: 41% at kick-off, 72% now
16. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' West Ham win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Lincoln · On: Ryley Towler · Off: Chiedozie Ogbene
18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Lincoln · On: Robert Nicholas Street · Off: F. Draper
19. 45′SECOND HALF Lincoln 0–1 West Ham
20. 46′We said West Ham at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 8–21–72
21. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' West Ham · On: Edvin Austbö · Off: Felipe Morato
22. 48′Edvin Austbö scores for West Ham on 48′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–93
23. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Lincoln 0–2 West Ham · Edvin Austbö
24. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' West Ham win: 41% at kick-off, 93% now
25. 49′50′ and it is 0–3: Jarrod Bowen on the scoresheet for West Ham. 0–3 · 0–1–99
26. 49′⚽ GOAL · 50' Lincoln 0–3 West Ham · Jarrod Bowen
27. 50′We said West Ham at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–3 · 0–1–99
28. 51′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–1–99
29. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Konstantinos Mavropanos · West Ham
30. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 58' West Ham · On: Taty Castellanos · Off: Manor Solomon
31. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 58' West Ham · On: Airidas Golambeckis · Off: Konstantinos Mavropanos
32. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Lincoln · On: Andrei Coubiș · Off: Sonny Bradley
33. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Lincoln · On: Yunus Konak · Off: Ben House
34. 65′We said West Ham at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
35. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 66' West Ham · On: Kyle Walker-Peters · Off: Joël Veltman
36. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 66' West Ham · On: Tomáš Souček · Off: Arne Engels
37. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Lincoln · On: Tom Bayliss · Off: Ivan Varfolomeev
38. 74′West Ham ahead on 75′ through Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
39. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Lincoln 0–4 West Ham · Jarrod Bowen
40. 75′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
41. 78′Tomáš Souček scores for West Ham on 79′ — 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
42. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Lincoln 0–5 West Ham · Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus
43. 79′A red card for Lincoln on 23′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–5 · 0–0–100
44. 80′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 0–5 · 0–0–100
45. 89′89′ and it is 0–6: Tomáš Souček on the scoresheet for West Ham. 0–6 · 0–0–100
46. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Lincoln 0–6 West Ham · Tomáš Souček
47. 90′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 0–6 · 0–0–100
48. 90′0–6 at the end. Our 41% on West Ham comes in. 0–6 · 0–0–100
49. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus · West Ham
50. FTFULL TIME Lincoln 0–6 West Ham
51. FTLincoln 0–6 West Ham · West Ham win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.