Charlton v Bristol City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Charlton win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Charlton 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–28–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Charlton v Bristol City
4. 7′⚽ GOAL · 8' Charlton 0–0 Bristol City
5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Charlton 1–0 Bristol City
6. 8′Charlton ahead on 8′ through Karlan Grant. 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–13
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 67% now
8. 9′We said Charlton at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–21–12
9. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 27' Charlton 1–0 Bristol City · Scott Twine
11. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Charlton 1–1 Bristol City · Scott Twine
12. 28′Scott Twine scores for Bristol City on 27′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–35–31
13. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 34% now
14. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Charlton win 33%)
15. 45′SECOND HALF Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
16. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
18. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Charlton · On: Kayne Ramsay · Off: Micah Mbick Corrected
19. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Charlton · On: Ivan Mesik · Off: Josh Edwards Corrected
20. 53′10.0 shots for Bristol City, 5.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 27–48–25
21. 57′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–51–24
22. 59′SECOND HALF Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
23. 60′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–22
24. 60′SECOND HALF Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
25. 61′SECOND HALF Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
26. 62′SECOND HALF Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
27. 63′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 23–56–21
28. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Bristol City · On: Cameron Pring · Off: Yu Hirakawa Corrected
29. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Bristol City · On: Sam Greenwood · Off: Brian de Keersmaecker Corrected
30. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Billy Koumetio · Charlton
31. 73′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 17–68–16
32. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 17% now
33. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Charlton · On: Charlie Kelman · Off: Miles Leaburn Corrected
34. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Charlton · On: Harvey Knibbs · Off: Karlan Grant Corrected
35. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Bristol City · On: Gibson Osahumen Yah · Off: Adam Randell Corrected
36. 79′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–1 · 12–77–11
37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Bristol City · On: Elijah Adebayo · Off: Scott Twine Corrected
38. 82′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
39. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Charlton win: 38% at kick-off, 6% now
40. 87′We said Charlton at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–4
41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Charlton · On: Millenic Alli · Off: Tyreece Campbell Corrected
42. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Ivan Mesik · Charlton
43. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Elijah Adebayo · Bristol City
44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 93' Bristol City · On: Sam Bellis · Off: Dominic Ballard Corrected
45. FTFULL TIME Charlton 1–1 Bristol City
46. FTCharlton 1–1 Bristol City · Charlton win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.