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FAS v Isidro Metapán
FAS
Isidro MetapánPrimera Division · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FAS win at 51%.
- 1′KICK-OFF FAS v Isidro Metapán
- 2′Little has changed for our model: FAS 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' FAS win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′HALF-TIME FAS 0–0 Isidro Metapán
- 45′SECOND HALF FAS 0–0 Isidro Metapán
- 47′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was FAS win 40%)
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 40–40–20
- 57′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–18
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' FAS win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 65′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
- 71′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' FAS win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 78′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–0 · 17–73–10
- 81′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' FAS win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 85′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
- 91′We said FAS at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- FTFULL TIME FAS 0–0 Isidro Metapán
- FTFAS 0–0 Isidro Metapán · FAS win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FAS are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FAS 51%, draw 27%, Isidro Metapán 22%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
FAS win51%
Isidro Metapán win22%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 02:30
RoundApertura · matchday 13
Match timeline
All events
FASMIN
Isidro MetapánEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FAS
Isidro Metapán
Last match: 19 Oct · Primera Division (El Salvador)
Last match: 18 Oct · Primera Division (El Salvador)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make FAS a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAS win | 51% | 42% | +9 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Isidro Metapán win | 22% | 29% | −7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 71% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| FAS or draw | 78% | 71% | +7 |
| FAS clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Isidro Metapán clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Primera Division this season · since 13 Sept
FAS
ISIDRO METAPÁN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Firpo | 15 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | FAS | 15 | +12 | 30 |
| 3 | Isidro Metapán | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 | Águila | 16 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Inter | 16 | +6 | 23 |
| 6 | Platense | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 7 | Alianza | 15 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Inca Aruba | 16 | −16 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Balboa | 16 | −8 | 14 |
| 11 | Cacahuatique | 16 | −11 | 12 |
| 12 | Fuerte San Francisco | 16 | −14 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Firpo
Águila
Inter
Platense
Alianza
Municipal Limeño
Inca Aruba
Atletico Balboa
Cacahuatique
Fuerte San Francisco