Tersana v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TersanaDrawMaleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Tersana 34%, draw 37%, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 29%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Tersana v Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Tersana win34%

Draw37%

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win29%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tersana

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

6Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 22 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
8	Tersana	10	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make the draw a 37% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tersana v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat~~0.94 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 18~~8 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tersana win	34%	–	–
Draw	37%	–	–
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Tersana or draw	71%	–	–
Tersana clean sheet	43%	–	–
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.0%

0123450 19.0 12.4 6.1 1 13.7 14.8 5.6 2 7.3 6.1 2.6 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tersana down, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tersana at home: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.94 goals for Tersana, 0.85 for Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TER 0–0 MAL · MAL 4–0 TER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept

TERSANA

WDWDWD2–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 0–0

MALEYET KAFR EL ZAYIAT

WWLWLD1–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3