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Team v Pharco

Team

0–3Full time

Pharco

Second League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:01

Team 0–3 Pharco TEAM WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Team win~~34%

~~The market said~~27%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.667

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.546

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Team win34%

Draw32%

Pharco win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · team winPublished 9 Oct 13:32

34% The market27%

Us34%

~~Market~~27%

We make Team a 34% chance to win. The market has them at 27%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Team win	34%	27%	+7
Draw	32%	33%	−1
Pharco win	33%	40%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	39%	35%	+4
Both teams to score	46%	43%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	67%	60%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	19%	17%	+2
Team or draw	67%	60%	+6
Team clean sheet	34%	–	–
Pharco clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.7%

0123450 13.0 10.1 6.6 2.5 1 10.3 14.7 7.1 2.7 2 6.8 7.2 4.0 3 2.6 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Team down, Pharco across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,522 Second League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.7% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Team at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Pharco away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Team, 1.11 for Pharco. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second League

TEAM

LWWDLL1–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3

PHARCO

WDWWLL2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	8	+10	19
2	Haras El Hodood	8	+8	18
3	Kahraba Ismailia	8	+9	17
4	Itesalat	7	+6	15
5	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	7	+5	14
6	AL Nasr SC	8	+5	13
7	Pharco	7	+2	13
8	Tersana	8	+1	13
9	El Mansura	7	+1	11
10	El Seka El Hadid	8	−2	11
11	El Dakhleya	8	−4	9
12	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	7	0	8
13	Tanta SC	7	−3	8
14	El Entag EL Harby	7	+1	7
15	Team	7	−3	7
16	Ismaily SC	7	−4	6
17	Dayrout	8	−12	5
18	Proxy	8	−8	4
19	La Viena FC	7	−5	3
20	Mega Sport	8	−7	2