Team v Mega Sport prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TeamDrawMega Sport

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Team 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Team are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Team 46%, draw 30%, Mega Sport 24%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Team v Mega SportBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Team win46%

Draw30%

Mega Sport win24%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Team

Mega Sport

6Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 22 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Team	10	−5	11
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · team winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Team a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Team v Mega Sport~~1.48 – 1.00

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 11 v 3~~12 v 20

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Team win

Published at 47%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Team win	46%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Mega Sport win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Team or draw	76%	–	–
Team clean sheet	37%	–	–
Mega Sport clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%

0123450 10.7 6.8 4.3 1 10.7 13.8 6.0 2.1 2 9.1 8.8 4.4 3 4.5 4.4 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Team down, Mega Sport across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Team at home: 0.60 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). Mega Sport away: 0.20 scored, 1.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Team, 1.00 for Mega Sport. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept

TEAM

DLLLWD1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 0–0

MEGA SPORT

LLLLLD1–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3