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Model 1.1

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Tanta SC v Dayrout

Tanta SC
0–0Full time
Dayrout

Second League · THU 15 OCT · Tanta Stadium

Full timeGraded 15 Oct 16:01
Tanta SC 0–0 Dayrout TANTA SC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Tanta SC win41%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.639
The market’s Brier score0.848

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tanta SC win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tanta SC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–32–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Tanta SC v Dayrout
  4. 30′THE CALL SWINGS · 30' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Tanta SC win 36%)
  5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Tanta SC win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Tanta SC 0–0 Dayrout
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Tanta SC 0–0 Dayrout
  8. 50′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
  9. 60′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
  10. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Tanta SC win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
  11. 69′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
  12. 76′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
  13. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Tanta SC win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
  14. 81′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–6
  15. 88′We said Tanta SC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
  16. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Tanta SC win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
  17. FTFULL TIME Tanta SC 0–0 Dayrout
  18. FTTanta SC 0–0 Dayrout · Tanta SC win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tanta SC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tanta SC 41%, draw 36%, Dayrout 23%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Tanta SC v DayroutBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off

Tanta SC win41%
Draw36%
Dayrout win23%

Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 9

VenueTanta Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tanta SC

Dayrout

6Days since last match7
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Tanta SC8−48
17Dayrout8−125

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tanta sc winFirst published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
41% The market55%
Us41%
Market55%

We make Tanta SC a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tanta SC v Dayrout1.07 – 0.74
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 8 v 515 v 17
The market · Tanta SC win55% · ours 41%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 07:1915 OCT 12:32
Our probability · tanta sc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tanta SC win41%55%−14
Draw36%28%+7
Dayrout win23%16%+7
Over 2.5 goals27%38%−11
Both teams to score35%40%−5
Over 1.5 goals55%63%−7
Over 3.5 goals11%20%−9
Tanta SC or draw77%84%−7
Tanta SC clean sheet48%––
Dayrout clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.5%
0123450 18.5 10.4 4.5 1 15.8 14.3 4.7 2 9.3 6.7 2.5 3 3.4 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Tanta SC down, Dayrout across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsDAY 1–2 TAN · TAN 0–0 DAY · DAY 1–0 TAN · TAN 0–0 DAY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 Sept

TANTA SC

LLWDLL0–1 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 1–2

DAYROUT

LLLDDW0–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Masar8+1019
2Haras El Hodood8+818
3Kahraba Ismailia8+917
4Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat8+617
5Pharco8+516
6Itesalat8+515
7El Mansura8+214
8AL Nasr SC8+513
9Tersana8+113
10El Seka El Hadid8−211
11El Entag EL Harby8+310
12Ismaily SC8−39
13El Dakhleya8−49
14Baladiyyat Al Mehalla8−18
15Tanta SC8−48
16Team8−67
17Dayrout8−125
18Proxy8−84
19La Viena FC8−73
20Mega Sport8−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.