Proxy v Ismaily SC prediction · Second League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ProxyDrawIsmaily SC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Proxy 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Proxy are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Proxy 44%, draw 30%, Ismaily SC 26%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Proxy v Ismaily SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Proxy win44%

Draw30%

Ismaily SC win26%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 11

VenueProxy Club Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Proxy

Ismaily SC

6Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · proxy winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Proxy a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Proxy v Ismaily SC~~1.46 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~17 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Proxy win

Published at 43%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Proxy win	44%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Ismaily SC win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Proxy or draw	74%	–	–
Proxy clean sheet	35%	–	–
Ismaily SC clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%

0123450 10.3 7.0 4.6 1 10.2 13.9 6.4 2.3 2 8.5 8.7 4.6 3 4.2 4.3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Proxy down, Ismaily SC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,547 Second League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second League matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Proxy at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ismaily SC away: 1.40 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Proxy, 1.05 for Ismaily SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 17 Sept

PROXY

LLLDWD0–1 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 2–2

ISMAILY SC

LWDWDL0–2 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Masar	10	+11	22
2	Haras El Hodood	10	+8	20
3	Itesalat	10	+7	19
4	Pharco	10	+4	19
5	Kahraba Ismailia	10	+8	18
6	Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat	10	+5	18
7	AL Nasr SC	10	+6	17
8	Tersana	10	+5	17
9	El Mansura	10	+2	17
10	El Seka El Hadid	10	+2	15
11	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla	10	0	12
12	Team	10	−5	11
13	El Entag EL Harby	10	+1	10
14	Ismaily SC	10	−4	10
15	Tanta SC	10	−4	10
16	El Dakhleya	10	−6	10
17	Proxy	10	−7	8
18	La Viena FC	10	−6	7
19	Dayrout	10	−16	6
20	Mega Sport	10	−11	3