Proxy v El Entag EL Harby

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Proxy win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Proxy was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Proxy v El Entag EL Harby
4. 45′HALF-TIME Proxy 0–0 El Entag EL Harby
5. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Proxy win 34%)
6. 46′SECOND HALF Proxy 0–0 El Entag EL Harby
7. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
8. 53′El Entag EL Harby find the net on 52′. 0–1. 0–1 · 8–23–68
9. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Proxy 0–1 El Entag EL Harby
10. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 8% now
11. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' El Entag EL Harby win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 23%)
12. 54′We said Proxy at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–23–69
13. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–39–26 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
14. 60′A goal for Proxy on 60′. 0–1 · 6–22–72
15. 60′We said Proxy at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–50–22
16. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Proxy 1–1 El Entag EL Harby
17. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 28% now
18. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was El Entag EL Harby win 22%)
19. 61′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 28–51–22
20. 67′We said Proxy at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–57–19
21. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
22. 74′We said Proxy at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–15
23. 79′We said Proxy at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–11
24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
25. 82′Proxy score on 82′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 91–8–0
26. 82′We published Proxy at 42%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–1 · 91–8–0
27. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Proxy 2–1 El Entag EL Harby
28. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 91% now
29. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Proxy win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 8%)
30. 83′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 92–8–0
31. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Proxy win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
32. 86′We published Proxy at 42%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
33. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Proxy 3–1 El Entag EL Harby
34. 88′Proxy find the net on 87′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
35. 88′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
36. 97′We published Proxy at 42%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–2 · 99–1–0
37. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Proxy 3–2 El Entag EL Harby
38. 98′A goal for El Entag EL Harby on 90′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 99–1–0
39. FTFULL TIME Proxy 3–2 El Entag EL Harby
40. FTProxy 3–2 El Entag EL Harby · Proxy win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.