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Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
Pharco
Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatSecond League · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Pharco win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Pharco 37% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–31–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
- 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Pharco win 34%)
- 45′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 76–19–5
- 45′HALF-TIME Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
- 46′SECOND HALF Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
- 47′Pharco score on 45′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–19–4
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Pharco win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 19%)
- 48′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–18–4
- 56′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 68′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
- 78′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 84′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
- FTFULL TIME Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
- FTPharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat · Pharco win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Pharco just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Pharco 37%, draw 35%, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 28%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Pharco win37%
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win28%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:30
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
PharcoMIN
Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Pharco
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Pharco a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pharco win | 37% | 41% | −4 |
| Draw | 35% | 35% | 0 |
| Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 29% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 38% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 55% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 14% | 0 |
| Pharco or draw | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Pharco clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 Sept
PHARCO
MALEYET KAFR EL ZAYIAT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Itesalat | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kahraba Ismailia | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | AL Nasr SC | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Pharco | 8 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | El Mansura | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Tersana | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | El Seka El Hadid | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 11 | El Entag EL Harby | 8 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 | Team | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 13 | Ismaily SC | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 14 | Tanta SC | 9 | −4 | 9 |
| 15 | El Dakhleya | 9 | −6 | 9 |
| 16 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 8 | −1 | 8 |
| 17 | Dayrout | 9 | −12 | 6 |
| 18 | La Viena FC | 9 | −7 | 4 |
| 19 | Proxy | 8 | −8 | 4 |
| 20 | Mega Sport | 8 | −7 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Masar
Haras El Hodood
Itesalat
Kahraba Ismailia
AL Nasr SC
El Mansura
Tersana
El Seka El Hadid
El Entag EL Harby
Team
Ismaily SC
Tanta SC
El Dakhleya
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Dayrout
La Viena FC
Proxy
Mega Sport