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Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Pharco
1–0Full time
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

Second League · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 16:02
Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat PHARCO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Pharco win37%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.597
The market’s Brier score0.533

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pharco win at 37%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pharco 37% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–31–30
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  4. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Pharco win 34%)
  5. 45′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 76–19–5
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  8. 47′Pharco score on 45′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 77–19–4
  9. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  10. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
  11. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Pharco win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 19%)
  12. 48′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–18–4
  13. 56′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  14. 68′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
  15. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
  16. 78′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  17. 84′We said Pharco at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  18. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Pharco win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
  19. FTFULL TIME Pharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat
  20. FTPharco 1–0 Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat · Pharco win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Pharco just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Pharco 37%, draw 35%, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat 28%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Pharco win37%
Draw35%
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win28%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pharco

Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

Last match: 9 Oct · the Egyptian Second League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat8+617
7Pharco8+516

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pharco winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
37% The market41%
Us37%
Market41%

We make Pharco a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pharco v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat1.06 – 0.89
Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 16 v 177 v 5
The market · Pharco win41% · ours 37%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 10 OCT 03:5516 OCT 13:07
Our probability · Pharco win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pharco win37%41%−4
Draw35%35%0
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat win28%25%+3
Over 2.5 goals31%29%+2
Both teams to score39%38%+1
Over 1.5 goals59%55%+4
Over 3.5 goals14%14%0
Pharco or draw72%75%−3
Pharco clean sheet42%––
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.6%
0123450 16.6 10.9 5.7 1 13.3 14.8 5.8 2 7.9 6.9 3.1 3 2.9 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pharco down, Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second League this season · since 3 Sept

PHARCO

DWWLLW0–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 3–0

MALEYET KAFR EL ZAYIAT

DWWWLW1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Masar8+1019
2Haras El Hodood9+819
3Itesalat9+718
4Kahraba Ismailia9+817
5Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat8+617
6AL Nasr SC9+616
7Pharco8+516
8El Mansura9+114
9Tersana8+113
10El Seka El Hadid8−211
11El Entag EL Harby8+310
12Team9−510
13Ismaily SC8−39
14Tanta SC9−49
15El Dakhleya9−69
16Baladiyyat Al Mehalla8−18
17Dayrout9−126
18La Viena FC9−74
19Proxy8−84
20Mega Sport8−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.